Multiple of Discretionary Earnings
This is the workhorse method for small, closely held businesses where one owner’s labor and the return on the business are tangled together. Rather than pretend a market multiple applies, you score the company on seven operating and financial factors — earnings track record, industry growth, business growth, financing, competition, owner dependence, and customer concentration — and the average score sets the multiple on a curved scale from 2× (a score of 0) through about 3× (an average 2) to 7× (a perfect 4), so only an exceptional business approaches the top.
Discretionary earnings are pre-tax profit plus one owner’s compensation, interest, depreciation, and non-operating or personal expenses.
When to use it
- The business is actively managed by its owner and the buyer will step into that role.
- Revenue is roughly $250,000 to $5,000,000 and results are reasonably steady.
- Comparable transaction data for the niche is thin or unreliable.
- The likely buyer is an individual or a small partnership using SBA financing.
When it misleads
- The company has professional management in place and owner compensation is already at market — use capitalized earnings instead.
- Earnings are negative or wildly cyclical; the multiple magnifies noise.
- A strategic or private-equity buyer is likely, since they price on EBITDA and synergies.
What ExitSight asks you for
| Input | Where it comes from |
|---|---|
| Annual revenue | Recast income statement, most recent full year |
| Discretionary earnings | Computed for you from the recasting worksheet add-backs |
| Owner’s market salary | Your figure; used to test whether the multiple is defensible |
| Seven value-driver scores | Scored 0–4 with guidance text for each anchor |
| Non-operating assets | Balance sheet worksheet; added after the multiple is applied |
Worked example
The sample engagement — Riverbend Machine Works, Inc., a 34-employee machine shop in Springfield, Oregon:
| Discretionary cash flow | $275,000 |
| Average of seven value-driver scores | 2.36 of 4 |
| Earnings multiplier (score on the 2–7× curve) | 3.52× |
| Value of operations | $968,560 |
| Add net working capital | $150,000 |
| Add non-operating assets | $120,000 |
| Subtract long-term liabilities | $15,000 |
| Indicated business value | $1,223,560 |
In the report
Prints in the income-approach section with the full value-driver scoring table and the note behind each score. See the sample report ›